The US dollar posted some recovery against most major currencies on Thursday as reflected by a 0.34% increase in the USDX on the iFOREX trading platform. Despite the Federal Reserve's continued projection of rate cuts in 2025, the dollar rebounded after markets assessed the possibility that interest rates would remain elevated throughout this year.
Energy prices extended their recent gains, with the two main crude oil benchmarks WTI and Brent up by 2.12% and 1.99% respectively on the iFOREX trading platform. This surge reflects anticipation of reduced supply following fresh U.S. sanctions against Iran and a new OPEC+ output cut agreement. The U.S. Treasury imposed new sanctions on entities supplying Iranian crude to China, including, for the first time, an independent Chinese refiner.
After reaching a three-year high, the Hong Kong 50 index reversed course, falling approximately 2.75% on Thursday and continuing its decline into Friday. This downturn was primarily driven by profit-taking in the previously high-performing technology and internet sectors. Prominent declines included Alibaba's 4.42% drop and XPeng's 7.19% fall, stocks that are listed both on the New York Stock Exchange as well as the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
Wall Street sentiment shifted back to negative on Thursday primarily driven by revised expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The Fed's projections of increased inflation and slower growth in 2025, along with concerns about potential tariff impacts, shifted market sentiment, resulting in declines of 0.56% for the US 500, 0.3% for the US 30, and 0.74% for the US Tech 100.
Despite exceeding third-quarter earnings with successful shoe launches, Nike's fourth-quarter revenue forecast, predicting a significant decline, dampened investor enthusiasm and caused the stock price to fall in after-hours trading. The company projects a percentage revenue decline, significantly worse than the 12.22% drop analysts predicted, signaling challenges in maintaining consumer interest amidst growing competition. This negative outlook overshadowed the positive third-quarter results and a 17% revenue decline in China added to investor anxiety. Later in the day, quarterly earnings reports are anticipated from Meituan, Carnival Corp, Miniso and Lufax.
On the cryptos front, Bitcoin and Ethereum, the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, experienced declines of 3.02% and 3.61% respectively on Thursday in line with Wall Street. This drop in value reflected heightened economic uncertainty over the U.S. economic outlook, especially under President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade tariff policies. The wider cryptocurrency market also declined, with XRP losing some of the gains it made following the SEC's withdrawal of its case against Ripple.
On Friday, attention will likely turn to Canada’s retail sales numbers the subsequent Eurozone consumer confidence and the Baker Hughes active oil rig count report.